It is already some time since Donald Trump was elected as the 47th President of the United States of America; probably now, with him at the helms of affairs, may be an appropriate time to peek at what happens next in terms of global geopolitics.
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Where Trump's campaign was about making big moves, he's said that within a week of being elected, he would end the war in Ukraine and Russia. And that raises some obvious questions about how he wants to approach international conflict resolution and U.S. foreign policy.



With Trump's expected inauguration in January 2025, there have been international speculations, especially in Ukraine and among allied nations, on the probable change in course of U.S. support and what it will mean in terms of the future outcome of the war.

Perhaps the most astonishing promise Trump made as he sought to become president was that he could resolve the war between Ukraine and Russia within less than 24 hours upon taking office.

Precisely how he will do this is anyone's guess, but so far his solution has taken the form of an aggressive kind of diplomacy-one that may involve hazardous negotiations with the President of Russia, Vladimir Putin, and the President of Ukraine, Volodymyr Zelensky. Taken together, Trump's history with Putin and his critiques of the extensive U.S. financial and military support to Ukraine portend a pivot away from the policies sustained by the Biden administration.

Trump firmly believes that money spent on the Ukraine conflict-which has surpassed $100 billion-could be better used domestically. He says that the financial burden to aid Ukraine has overextended the American economy at the expense of the taxpayers.

Though he has not given any details thus far, Trump said he would pressure Ukraine to give in on some issues to reach peace, and that could very well include painful concessions such as yielding parts of its territories. Such a tack is likely to prove unpopular, given the lack of inclination by Ukrainians to yield one inch of occupied territory while simultaneously keeping their displeasure with Trump alive over his relations with Russia.

 

The possible turn of Trump's foreign policy has sent shockwaves among NATO allies and to Ukraine, which depends overwhelming on US support in the war against Russia. Under Biden, the US has become quite an aggressive ally for Ukraine, offering tons of military aid, intelligence, and diplomatic support. That may be different with Trump, and the dialing down of US involvement would put Ukraine at a disadvantage.

Afraid, due to Trump's proposition, it may lead to a peace treaty at the cost of parts of Ukraine. A lot of people fear that his friendliness with Putin will lead to a pro-Russia give-up at the cost of Ukrainian sovereignty.

Contrary to that, the supporters of Trump are of the viewpoint that his dealing can open a way to peace by reining in wild military expenses and, hence, end the war that is devastating the global economy and stability.

Apart from Ukraine, Trump's term is bound to readjust America's position in the world. During his previous term in office, as described by "America First" policies, America's involvement in international organizations would be cut down, while negotiated trade agreements were renegotiated to favor American interests. This might again be how US priorities will shift under his new term vis-à-vis alliances, trade agreements, and international initiatives.

A pivot by Trump on U.S. foreign policy would have consequences for the dynamic between the U.S. and NATO-the European allies have long questioned America's commitment to its collective defense.

Rhetoric from Trump seemed to hint at some of the problems that may arise in the cohesion of NATO, as one might duly believe that Trump will push European nations to increase their own defense spending and rely less on U.S. military forces. A development of that nature would alter the world's balance of power, freeing Russia to expand its influence over Europe-most especially if NATO allies gain a sense that America does not have their backs.

The whole world is now anxiously waiting to see Trump sworn in as the new President on January 20, 2025, with speculations running thick and fast about his priorities on foreign and domestic policies.

Media reports in the wake of his victory suggested that Trump could meet with world leaders, including Putin, even before his formal inauguration to explore possibilities of starting peace talks in Ukraine. While breakthroughs on the international front did come for the past administration, negotiations for the end of the Ukraine-Russia conflict remain daunting, filled with deep-seated animosities and complex geopolitical interests.

The reported Trump peace plan is packed full of cuts in U.S. aid that would dramatically change the current landscape of the conflict. Analysts said that without significant American support, the defensive capability of Ukraine was grossly weakened. In this situation, compromise or further casualties and loss of territory would have to be considered by Ukraine.

This war is major achievement of Trump's diplomatic solution, but his critics believed his strategy will further whet the appetite for Russian ambitions and destabilize the security of the region.

Back home, Trump has a hard climb to get his vision to jell both with public opinion and with Congressional support. Many Americans are still divided on foreign aid, especially as domestic economic concerns-like inflation and national debt-continue to trend upward.

His proposed cut in spending for Ukraine is in line with a devotedly fiscal-conservative slice of his constituency, the one that wants a return to "America First" policy. Yet large swaths of the public and many members of Congress in both parties favor continuing the aid to Ukraine out of a belief that withholding it would lead to global instability and further Russian aggression.

What's more, Trump's foreign policy stance may reopen debates as to whether America should be policeman to the world or home-focused. His administration would have to gingerly make its way through these complex sentiments lest it lose votes and lawmakers with conflicting views on international aid.

Trump's comeback to presidency this time as the 47th President is highly speculated with regard to the position and priorities of America on the global stage. The tendency of sliding towards diplomatic, perhaps contentious ways to the Ukraine-Russia War presumes that his administration may have a serious deviation from recent U.S. policy.

It remains to be seen how far he will succeed in bringing real peace in the shortest time. His ways, after all, may run afoul of established norms of behavior and the resistance from the affected nations.

As January is fast approaching, the world is yet to see exactly how Trump will prepare for the commencement of his second term, particularly in terms of a schedule of meetings with the key international actors.

His swearing-in promises new American leadership along with a complex interplay of domestic and global challenges. The ripples of his policy announcements are bound to shape not only the future of the war between Ukraine and Russia but also the geopolitical landscape, with long-lasting effects on allies and foes alike.

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